Gulf Shares in Free Fall after Oil Rout, Iran Deal


KUWAIT CITY, Kuwait – Share prices in the energy-rich Gulf states nose-dived Sunday following the sharp decline in oil prices as Iran prepares to resume crude exports after the lifting of sanctions.

The plunge in the first day of trading in the Muslim week also follows heavy losses in global bourses on Friday, when Gulf exchanges were closed for the weekend.

The price of oil, which contributes more than 80 percent to Gulf states’ revenues, shed more than 20 percent this year to drop below $30 a barrel. This follows a plunge of 65 percent in the past two years.

The expected return of Iran to the oil market, following the implementation Saturday of its historic nuclear deal with world powers, will only worsen the production glut that has been the main reason for the oil price dive.

All seven Gulf bourses saw a wave of panic selling, sending indices to multi-year lows.

Big investors joined small dealers in dumping shares in fear of a further slump.

“The majority of Gulf firms depend on their governments, which depend on oil revenues. No one knows the bottom of oil prices,” Kuwaiti analyst Ali al-Nemish said.

“The Iranian impact on the markets appears to be somewhat inflated because Iranian crude exports will not be huge initially,” Nemish told AFP.

Negative territory

The bourses of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Abu Dhabi have already lost in the past two weeks more than they dropped in the whole of 2015.

The Saudi Tadawul All-Shares Index, the largest Arab market, fell by over 7.2 during trading but recovered slightly to finish down 5.44 percent on 5,520.41 points, close to a five-year low.

The leading petrochemicals sector dipped 5.1 percent, while banks lost 3.7 percent.

Since the start of 2016, the TASI has dropped 20.1 percent, more than all of its losses last year.

The Qatar Exchange, the second largest in the Gulf after Saudi Arabia’s, plunged 7.2 percent to close trading just above the 8,500-point mark, last seen in April 2013.

All the listed firms were in the red and the bourse has so far dipped 18 percent this year, more than the 15 percent it lost in 2015.

The Dubai Financial Market dropped 6.0 percent at the opening but recovered slightly to close the day down 4.64 percent on 2,684.9 points, a three-year low.

Blue chip properties giant Emaar shed 4.0 percent and the leading construction firm Arabtec sank the maximum allowed 10 percent.

Since the beginning of this year, Dubai has dropped 15 percent.

The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange also slumped 4.24 percent but remained above the 3,700-point mark. All sectors were down with banks and real estate shedding above 5.0 percent.

Dubai and Abu Dhabi bourses are the lowest since September 2013.

The Kuwait Stock Exchange dropped 3.2 percent to just above the 5,000-point mark, levels only seen in May 2004.

The small market of Oman dropped 3.2 percent to below the 5,000-point mark for the first time since mid-2009. Bahrain dropped 0.4 percent.

Since the beginning of 2016, the seven stock markets have shed more than $130 billion of their market capitalization, which now stands at about $800 billion.

All Gulf stock exchanges ended 2015 in negative territory, led by Saudi Arabia, after the sharp decline in oil prices. — Agence France-Presse



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